Dubai Property Price Index 2026

Quarterly residential price index tracking villa, apartment and townhouse appreciation. Base year 2020 = 100.

Last updated: April 2026

Summary

Dubai residential prices continued to appreciate in Q1 2026, though growth has moderated from 2024–2025 peaks. Villas remain the strongest segment, up 12.4% year-over-year to index 168.5. Apartments appreciate more slowly at 8.2% YoY (index 142.3). Overall market index stands at 151.8, representing 51.8% cumulative appreciation since 2020. Ultra-luxury areas (Palm Jumeirah, Jumeirah Bay, Dubai Hills) continue to command premium growth, while lower-tier communities (International City, Discovery Gardens) face softening demand. The market remains fundamentally stable with balanced supply-demand in most segments.

Quarterly Price Index (2024–2026)

PeriodVillasApartmentsTownhousesOverall Index
Q1 2024130.2115.8120.5122.2
Q2 2024133.5117.2122.1124.3
Q3 2024136.8119.5124.6126.9
Q4 2024142.1124.3130.2132.2
Q1 2025150.1131.4138.5140.0
Q2 2025153.2133.8141.2142.7
Q3 2025156.5135.9143.8145.4
Q4 2025161.2139.6148.5149.8
Q1 2026168.5142.3152.0151.8

Year-over-Year Growth

Villas

12.4%

Apartments

8.2%

Townhouses

9.8%

Overall

10.1%

Top-Performing Communities

Palm Jumeirah

+18–22%

Ultra-luxury, limited supply, waterfront premium

Jumeirah Bay

+16–20%

Branded residences, beachfront exclusivity

Dubai Hills Estate

+14–16%

Established community, strong demand

Softening Communities

International City

–4 to –2%

Oversupply, transitional positioning in market hierarchy

Discovery Gardens

–2 to 0%

Mid-market saturation, limited amenity differentiation

Methodology & Sources

Index Calculation: Price index reflects changes in average transaction values by property type and emirate, sourced from DLD (Dubai Land Department) transaction records.

Data Sources: DLD official transactions (primary), RERA smart rental index, CRC research, MRK internal market monitoring.

Quarterly Updates: Published within 2–4 weeks of quarter-end based on available transaction data.

Scope: Residential only (villas, apartments, townhouses). Excludes commercial, retail and land transactions.

Key Insights

  • Villas outperform apartments by 4.2% YoY, driven by ultra-luxury segment demand.
  • Overall market growth (10.1% YoY) is healthy but moderating from 2024–2025 peaks.
  • Palm Jumeirah and Jumeirah Bay command 18–22% annual appreciation; luxury positioning remains resilient.
  • Mid-market apartments (Downtown, Marina, Business Bay) appreciate 6–8% YoY as affordability improves.
  • International City and Discovery Gardens face supply-demand mismatch; exercise caution in these segments.
  • Off-plan portfolios in prime locations (Creek Harbour, Emaar Beachfront) show strong buyer appetite.
  • Geopolitical and interest rate uncertainty may temper growth in H2 2026; monitor macro factors closely.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the base year for this price index?

The base year is 2020 with an index value of 100. All subsequent values reflect percentage change from 2020 baseline.

How much have villa prices appreciated since 2020?

Villas appreciated 68.5% from 2020 to Q1 2026 (index 168.5). Year-over-year growth from Q1 2025 to Q1 2026 was 12.4%.

Which property type has appreciated most?

Villas have outperformed, reaching 168.5 in Q1 2026. Apartments lag at 142.3. Townhouses are between them at approximately 152.

Which communities are appreciating fastest?

Top performers: Palm Jumeirah (waterfront appeal), Jumeirah Bay (ultra-luxury) and Dubai Hills (established demand). Softening areas: International City and Discovery Gardens.

Is the market still appreciating in 2026?

Yes, but with deceleration. Q1 2026 annualized growth is 10.1% overall. Ultra-luxury (villas) remains strong at 12.4% YoY. Mid-market apartments show slower growth at 8.2% YoY.

Need Custom Market Analysis?

Contact our research team for detailed valuations, investment recommendations, or community-specific analysis.

Disclaimer: Figures are MRK internal research estimates based on DLD transactions, RERA smart rental index and CRC research as of April 2026. All figures are approximate and for reference only. For professional valuations and specific investment decisions, contact our team.

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