Colliers counts 11,650 Dubai deliveries in Q2 and 56,600 still to come in 2026
The second half of 2026 carries most of the year's supply. How to position before the bulk of it lands.
Ключевые цифры
~11,650
Dubai homes delivered Q2 2026
~9,200
Apartments in Q2 deliveries
~56,600
Dubai homes scheduled rest of 2026
69,000+
UAE units expected in 2026
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Кратко
Colliers' Q2 2026 UAE review recorded about 11,650 Dubai home deliveries in the quarter and a scheduled 56,600 for the remainder of the year. The scale of the back-loaded pipeline matters more than the quarterly count, because it sets the competitive backdrop for every ready listing through early 2027.
Анализ
What actually happened
Colliers' quarterly review of the UAE residential market recorded roughly 11,650 completed homes in Dubai during the second quarter of 2026, of which about 9,200 were apartments and 2,450 were villas and townhouses. The firm then set out a far larger figure: around 56,600 further homes scheduled for completion across the remainder of the year. Across the country, Colliers expects more than 69,000 new residential units in 2026, with Dubai providing the overwhelming majority of that total.
Other trackers counted the quarter slightly differently, with some reporting more than 13,000 completions. The gap reflects methodology rather than disagreement on direction. Every major source points the same way: the emirate's delivery calendar for 2026 is heavily weighted towards the second half, and the quarters ahead will see more keys handed over than the quarters behind.
Why it matters
A scheduled figure is not a delivered one. Dubai's developers have historically completed a meaningful share of projects later than planned, so 56,600 should be read as an upper bound on what reaches the market this year rather than a firm number. Even so, a fraction of that pipeline arriving on time would represent a step change in the volume of ready homes competing for the same pool of end users and tenants.
The split also matters. Apartments dominated Q2 completions by a wide margin, and that pattern is likely to hold. Villa and townhouse supply remains comparatively thin, which helps explain why established villa communities have held value more firmly than high-density apartment districts. The pressure from new supply will be felt unevenly, concentrated in specific towers and communities rather than spread across the whole market.
Our read
For buyers seeking a home to live in, the coming two quarters favour patience and selectivity. As completions accumulate, owners in newly delivered buildings will be competing with one another, and the strongest positions will belong to buyers who can move quickly with financing already arranged. Focus on finished buildings you can inspect, where view, floor and finish are certain.
For sellers, the message is to price against the stock that is about to land, not against last spring's comparables. Apartments in districts with heavy handover schedules will face the most competition, so distinctive layouts, superior views and well-maintained interiors deserve emphasis in marketing.
For landlords, new completions typically reach the rental market within a few quarters. Expect more choice for tenants in apartment-heavy communities through 2027, and consider securing quality tenants on longer terms now rather than testing the market at renewal.
Вопросы
Will all 56,600 homes actually be completed in 2026?
Unlikely. The figure is a schedule, and Dubai projects have historically slipped. Treat it as the upper limit of what could reach the market this year, with a portion rolling into 2027.
Which segment faces the most new competition?
Apartments. They made up the large majority of Q2 completions, while villa and townhouse deliveries remain comparatively limited, which supports values in established villa communities.
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